The study of climate change in Mazandaran Province using the limit indices of temperature and precipitation
Paper Details
The study of climate change in Mazandaran Province using the limit indices of temperature and precipitation
Abstract
In recent years, we could rarely find a day in which the mass media do not release news and reports about natural disasters such as intensive storms, flood, drought and their heavy damages to catchments and human’s environment. Most of the mentioned events are the result of climate changes that researchers believed it is the result of global warming. With regard to the fact that with today’s technology, human could not prevent these disasters. Therefore, recognizing these phenomena and its consequences can help the human to learn what the best way is to overcome these events and suitable behavior to decrease the consequences. To do so, in this study, climate changes problem in Mazandaran province catchments was selected and considered. To achieve this aim, temperature and precipitation parameters were extracted and classified from synoptic and climatologic meteorological stations with long duration statistics. To achieve a total idea of precipitation and temperature behavior in the studied region, moving average was used with a quantitative analysis. In addition, Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to study the intensity, duration and frequency of drought years in that region in order to specify the role of precipitation, temperature, and moisture in climate change. The results of the study indicated that temperature change causes precipitation reduction and could directly affect the water requirement of agricultural plants. Finally, by reviewing the above mentioned parameters it was concluded that in recent years, climate change has been obvious in the area and tends to become more arid.
Azizi Q. 2005. The Study of Droughts, Wet Years and Their Prediction by Halt Winterz Temporal Series Model in Hormozgan Province, Geographical Research Journal 79(25), 12-20. (In Persian).
Bakhtyari B. 2003. Analytic Attribute on Kerman Climate Change, Precipitation and Temperature, Third regional conference and First national conference of climate change, Isfahan, Oct. 21-23, Iran: 96-104.
Behyar MB, Mohammadi Parandehkhoorani A. 2003. The Importance of Marginal Forests and Urban Green Campus on Decreasing Air Pollution Specially Carbon Dioxide in Isfahan Province, Third regional conference and First national conference of climate change, Isfahan, Oct. 21-23, Iran: 152-165.
Chbouk N. 1995. Spatial-Temporal Patterns of Drought in Morocco, journal of climatology 15(2), 187- 207.
FarajzadeAsl M. 1995. AnalysisAnd Prediction of Drought in Iran, PhD Thesis of Climatology, Tarbiat Modares University, 355 p. (In Persian).
Haghshenas RA. 2011. Identification of Climate Changes in Mazandaran Province with an Emphasis on Precipitationand Temperature Indices, Thesis of Geography,Islamic Azad University (Shahr-E-Rey Branch), 264 p. (In Persian).
Hejazizade Z, Fattahi I, Qaemi H. 2001. Drought Monitoring with Standard Precipitation Index: ChaharMahalBakhtyariProvince Case Study, TarbiatModares University,Journal of Geography 1(1), 20-32. (In Persian).
IPPC. 2000. Special Report on Emissions, Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change, Cambridge University press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 599 p.
Karl TR, Dias HF. 1998. Urbanization.Its Detection and Effect in the United States Climate Record, Journal of Climate 20(10), 1099-1123.
Kaviani MR, Alijani B. 2006. The Foundation of Climatology, Samt publications, 576 p.
KhoshAkhlagh F. 1997,. TheStudy of Drought and Wet Year Monthly Pattern in Iran, Geographical Research Journal 45(12), 25-34. (In Persian).
LashniZand M. 2004. The Climatic Study of Iran Droughts and Methods to Compare Them, Thesis of geography PhD Isfahan University, 275 p.(In Persian).
Mahmood Zadeh A, Owhadi D. 2009. The Evaluation and Zonation of Isfahan Province by SPI and Drought Adaptation Methods, Ardabil, Dec. 12-14, Iran: 77-85.
Mas’oudian SA. 1998. The Study on Temporal and Spatial Variation of Precipitation in Iran, Thesis of geography PhD Isfahan University, 195 p. (In Persian).
Razi’I T, Shokohi AR, Saghafian H, Daneshkar Araste P. 2003. The Drought Monitoring in Central Iran by SPI, Third regional conference and First national conference of climate change, Isfahan, Oct. 21-23, Iran: 52-62.
Reza’I Banafshe M, Sarafrooze F. 2009. The Study of Auto Regression and Holt Winters Methods Usage for Drought and Wet Year Prediction in Tabriz, National conference decreasing of effect atmospheric and climatic calamities, Ardabil, Dec. 12-14, Iran: 46-54.
Rossi J, Bendini M. 1992. On Regional Drought Estimation and Analysis, Journal of Water resources management 15(6), 249-227.
Soleimani K. 2007. The Study of MazandaranClimate Change, Research project of Mazandaran province meteorological central office, (In Persian) 107 p.
Sultani SB, AfsharMoghadam Y, Khadivar K, Sha’ban Poor MR. 2009. The Analysisof MazandaranProvince Meteorological Drought in 2008 (with an Emphasis on Rice Product), Ardabil, Dec. 12-14, Iran: 74-83.
Thampson SA. 1999. Hydrology for Water Management, Abalkema publication, Rotterdam, 584 p.
Walsh K, Pittock AB. 1998. Potential Changes in Tropical Storms, Hurricanes and Extreme Rainfall Events As A Result Of Climate Change, Journal of Climate 39(12), 199-213.
Razaghian Hadi, Shahedi Kaka, Haghshenas GatabiRahman Rahman Ali, Kheirollah Poor Saraee Ahmad (2014), The study of climate change in Mazandaran Province using the limit indices of temperature and precipitation; JBES, V5, N1, July, P14-22
https://innspub.net/the-study-of-climate-change-in-mazandaran-province-using-the-limit-indices-of-temperature-and-precipitation/
Copyright © 2014
By Authors and International
Network for Natural Sciences
(INNSPUB) https://innspub.net
This article is published under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0