Forecasting dates production in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

Paper Details

Research Paper 01/04/2017
Views (214) Download (6)
current_issue_feature_image
publication_file

Forecasting dates production in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

Syed Asghar Ali Shah, Nagina Zeb, Alamgir
Int. J. Biosci.10( 4), 249-254, April 2017.
Certificate: IJB 2017 [Generate Certificate]

Abstract

The present study was undertaken to forecast Date’s production for onward ten years in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. The study was based on secondary data covering a period of about 34 years i.e. starting from 1980-81 to 2013-14. Whereas auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) modeling has been employed to fit the best time series model for Dates production. It revealed through the results that for Dates production, the time series models ARIMA (3, 1, 1) was found adequate having least values of forecast evaluation criteria. Hence it can be recommended that time series models was suitable for forecasting Date’s production in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

VIEWS 5

Abid SI, Raza M, Masood A. 2014. Trend analysis and forecasting of maize area and production in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Pakistan. Eur. Acad. Res 2(4), 4653-4664.

Al-Rawahi AS, Kasapis S. Al-Bulushi IM. 2005. Development of a date confectionery: Part 1. Relating formulation to instrumental texture. Intern. J. Food Properties 8(3), 457-468.

Ata S, Shahbaz B, Khan IA, Iftikhar M. 2014. Role of date palm in livelihoods of farmers of marginal areas: A case study of South Punjab, Pakistan. J. Agric. Res 52(3), 453-462.

El-Juhany LI. 2010. Degradation of date palm trees and date production in Arab countries: Causes and potential rehabilitation. Aust. J. Basic Appl. Sci 4(8), 3998-4010.

Farah N. 2012. A univariate time modelling of dates exports in Pakistan J. Contemporary Issues in Business Res 1(2), 37-48.

Karim R. Awala A, Akhter M. 2010. Forecasting of Wheat production in Bangladesh. Bangladesh J. Agric. Res  35(1), 17-28.

Kwaasi, A. A. A. 2003. Date palm and sandstorm borne allergens. Clinical and Experimental Allergy 33(4), 419-426.

PHDEB. 2008. Dates marketing strategy. Pakistan Horticulture Development and Export Board. p. 11-12.

Yahaya SA, Omokhudu CA, Koloce I.M, Hamza AM, Abdullahi MA. 2015. Proximate composition and fruit weight of fresh date fruits (Phoenix dactylifera L.) varieties in wet season of Nigeria. Pakistan J. Nutr 14(11), 834-836.