Forecasting dates production in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

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Research Paper 01/04/2017
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Forecasting dates production in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

Syed Asghar Ali Shah, Nagina Zeb, Alamgir
Int. J. Biosci.10( 4), 249-254, April 2017.
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The present study was undertaken to forecast Date’s production for onward ten years in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. The study was based on secondary data covering a period of about 34 years i.e. starting from 1980-81 to 2013-14. Whereas auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) modeling has been employed to fit the best time series model for Dates production. It revealed through the results that for Dates production, the time series models ARIMA (3, 1, 1) was found adequate having least values of forecast evaluation criteria. Hence it can be recommended that time series models was suitable for forecasting Date’s production in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.


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