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Climate change impacts on agriculture productivity in district Zhob: A time series analysis

Research Paper | November 1, 2019

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Jamil ur Rehman Babar, Najeeb Ullah Babar

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Int. J. Biosci.15( 5), 41-49, November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12692/ijb/15.5.41-49


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Agriculture is the most vulnerable sector to climate change by imposing serious threats to agriculture production in the regions, where food is already unsecured. A time series data of climatic variables and production of major crops from year 1981 to 2015 was taken into account to assess the impacts of climatic parameters on agriculture production and the farmer’s perception on it. The data of both variables is presented in a combine graph and also by using multiple regression model to see the impacts of rainfall and temperature (Minimum and Maximum) on agriculture productivity such as crops, fruits and vegetables. This study revealed that after the period 1998 onwards, high variability in the temperature and rainfall has been observed and decreased in the production of most food verities has been observed in the entire time period in district Zhob. The statistical analysis and farmer’s perception also indicate that climatic variables have significant impacts on almost all of the food verities production. The impact of climatic variables on agriculture production insure that there is need to make effective policies to assist adaptation to these changes.


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